论文标题

关于哺乳动物Megafauna的死亡率和短暂性的动态

On the dynamics of mortality and the ephemeral nature of mammalian megafauna

论文作者

Rallings, Taran, Kempes, Christopher P., Yeakel, Justin D.

论文摘要

通过消费者资源相互作用的能量流很大程度上取决于体型。异态关系通过影响繁殖率以及死亡率的替代来源来控制人群的动态,这些死亡率对较小至较大的生物产生了不同的影响。在这里,我们得出并研究了与四个替代哺乳动物死亡率替代来源相关的时间尺度:饥饿,与衰老相关的死亡率,捕食者消费的死亡率以及人为补贴的收获引入的死亡率。将这些异态关系纳入最小的消费者资源模型,阐明了可能有助于哺乳动物社区结构的中心约束。我们的框架表明,尽管饥饿在很大程度上影响了较小的物种,但预计衰老的异质量将更加困难。相反,外部捕食和补贴收成对大型物种的种群产生了更大的影响。此外,包含捕食死亡率揭示了哺乳动物食草动物的质量阈值,在这种情况下,动态不稳定性可能会限制大型群体种群的可行性。我们展示了这些阈值如何随替代性捕食者质量关系而变化,这些阈值在地面系统中尚未得到充分理解。最后,我们使用框架来预测诱导质量特异性灭绝所需的收获压力,这与先前在古生物学和历史背景下对人为大型巨型巨型的剥削的估计密切相符。我们的结果共同强调了大型人口的脆弱性质,以及不同的死亡率来源如何在进化时代有助于其短暂的性质。

Energy flow through consumer-resource interactions is largely determined by body size. Allometric relationships govern the dynamics of populations by impacting rates of reproduction, as well as alternative sources of mortality, which have differential impacts on smaller to larger organisms. Here we derive and investigate the timescales associated with four alternative sources of mortality for terrestrial mammals: mortality from starvation, mortality associated with aging, mortality from consumption by predators, and mortality introduced by anthropogenic subsidized harvest. The incorporation of these allometric relationships into a minimal consumer-resource model illuminates central constraints that may contribute to the structure of mammalian communities. Our framework reveals that while starvation largely impacts smaller-bodied species, the allometry of senescence is expected to be more difficult to observe. In contrast, external predation and subsidized harvest have greater impacts on the populations of larger-bodied species. Moreover, the inclusion of predation mortality reveals mass thresholds for mammalian herbivores, where dynamic instabilities may limit the feasibility of megafaunal populations. We show how these thresholds vary with alternative predator-prey mass relationships, which are not well understood within terrestrial systems. Finally, we use our framework to predict the harvest pressure required to induce mass-specific extinctions, which closely align with previous estimates of anthropogenic megafaunal exploitation in both paleontological and historical contexts. Together our results underscore the tenuous nature of megafaunal populations, and how different sources of mortality may contribute to their ephemeral nature over evolutionary time.

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