论文标题
如何为下一个大流行做准备 - 从全球和地方的角度研究食品价格与Covid-19之间的相关性
How to Prepare for the Next Pandemic -- Investigation of Correlation Between Food Prices and COVID-19 From Global and Local Perspectives
论文作者
论文摘要
冠状病毒病（Covid-19）不仅给美国，而且全球经济造成了巨大的破坏。由于大流行，供应链中的问题以及对粮食短缺的担忧推动了食品价格。根据美国劳工统计局的数据，截至2020年8月和2021年8月的一年中，粮食价格分别上涨了4.1％和3.7％，而在Covid-19-19-19的大流行之前，食品价格的年度上涨量小于2.0％。先前的研究表明，包括2011年Tohoku地震，9/11恐怖袭击和主要的传染病，以及导致的异常食品价格通常会导致人们的消费行为发生变化。我们假设COVID-19大流行会导致食品价格变化，价格变化也会改变人们的杂货购物行为。为了彻底探讨这一点，我们从两个不同的角度从中国，日本，英国和美国以及从美国境内的不同人群中收集数据来从两个不同的角度进行分析。特别是，我们分析了食品价格和共同-19之间的趋势以及食品价格和支出之间的趋势，旨在找出它们的相关性以及准备下一个大流行的教训。
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has caused enormous disruptions to not only the United States, but also the global economy. Due to the pandemic, issues in the supply chain and concerns about food shortage drove up the food prices. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the prices for food increased 4.1% and 3.7% over the year ended in August 2020 and August 2021, respectively, while the amount of annual increase in the food prices prior to the COVID-19 pandemic is less than 2.0%. Previous studies show that such kinds of exogenous disasters, including the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake, 9/11 terrorist attacks, and major infectious diseases, and the resulted unusual food prices often led to subsequent changes in people's consumption behaviors. We hypothesize that the COVID-19 pandemic causes food price changes and the price changes alter people's grocery shopping behaviors as well. To thoroughly explore this, we formulate our analysis from two different perspectives, by collecting data both globally, from China, Japan, United Kingdom, and United States, and locally, from different groups of people inside the US. In particular, we analyze the trends between food prices and COVID-19 as well as between food prices and spending, aiming to find out their correlations and the lessons for preparing the next pandemic.
