论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

High-energy Neutrino Productions from AGN Disk Transients Impacted by Circum-disk Medium

论文作者

Zhou, Zi-Hang, Zhu, Jin-Ping, Wang, Kai

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

Various supernovae (SN), compact object coalescences, and tidal disruption events are widely believed to occur embedded in active galactic nuclei (AGN) accretion disks and generate detectable electromagnetic (EM) signals. We collectively refer to them as \emph{AGN disk transients}. The inelastic hadronuclear ($pp$) interactions between shock-accelerated cosmic rays and AGN disk materials shortly after the ejecta shock breaks out of the disk can produce high-energy neutrinos. However, the expected efficiency of neutrino production would decay rapidly by adopting a pure Gaussian density atmosphere profile applicable for stable gas-dominated disks. On the other hand, AGN outflows and disk winds are commonly found around AGN accretion disks. In this paper, we present that the circum-disk medium would further consume the shock kinetic energy to more efficiently produce high-energy neutrinos, especially for $\sim$\,TeV$-$PeV neutrinos that IceCube detects. Thanks to the existence of the circum-disk medium, we find that the neutrino production will be enhanced significantly and make a much higher contribution to the diffuse neutrino background. Optimistically, $\sim20\%$ diffuse neutrino background can be contributed from AGN disk transients.

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