论文标题

集成固定和灵活的过境系统的自适应路线选择模型

An adaptive route choice model for integrated fixed and flexible transit systems

论文作者

Leffler, David, Burghout, Wilco, Cats, Oded, Jenelius, Erik

论文摘要

在过去的十年中,在应用基于代理的仿真模型的运输社区中引起了人们的兴趣,以评估以不同程度的短期灵活性在路由和调度方面的特征。在开发基于代理的仿真模型中,用于评估灵活运输的中心建模决策是人们如何选择表示旅行者的模式和路线选择。旅行者的实时自适应行为对于在存在灵活的过境服务的情况下进行建模至关重要,在这种情况下,车辆的路由和调度高度依赖于供应需求动力学,更接近实时时间分辨率。我们提出了一个基于公用事业的运输路线选择模型,该模型具有日期自适应旅行行为和日间学习,其中基于站基于站的固定传输,灵活性传输和Active-Mode替代方案可以在单个路径中动态组合。为了实现实验,该路线选择模型是在基于代理的动态公共交通仿真框架内实现的。首先在玩具网络的固定和灵活传输模式之间进行选择,首先探索模型属性。然后,将该框架应用于说明服务级别的权衡,并在基于瑞典斯德哥尔摩现实生活中的分支过境服务的案例研究中分析混合固定和灵活的过境系统中的旅行者模式选择。

Over the past decade, there has been a surge of interest in the transport community in the application of agent-based simulation models to evaluate flexible transit solutions characterized by different degrees of short-term flexibility in routing and scheduling. A central modeling decision in the development of an agent-based simulation model for the evaluation of flexible transit is how one chooses to represent the mode- and route-choices of travelers. The real-time adaptive behavior of travelers is intuitively important to model in the presence of a flexible transit service, where the routing and scheduling of vehicles is highly dependent on supply-demand dynamics at a closer to real-time temporal resolution. We propose a utility-based transit route-choice model with representation of within-day adaptive travel behavior and between-day learning where station-based fixed-transit, flexible-transit, and active-mode alternatives may be dynamically combined in a single path. To enable experimentation, this route-choice model is implemented within an agent-based dynamic public transit simulation framework. Model properties are first explored in a choice between fixed- and flexible-transit modes for a toy network. The framework is then applied to illustrate level-of-service trade-offs and analyze traveler mode choices within a mixed fixed- and flexible transit system in a case study based on a real-life branched transit service in Stockholm, Sweden.

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