论文标题
帕累托I型分布的测试:比较研究
Testing for the Pareto type I distribution: A comparative study
论文作者
论文摘要
帕累托分布是经济学,金融和精算科学中广泛使用的模型。结果,已经对文献中的这些分布提出了许多合适的测试。我们概述了帕累托分布的现有测试,专门针对帕累托I型分布。迄今为止,仅发表了有关帕累托分布的合适性测试的单个概述论文。但是,上述纸张的范围比当前论文的范围更大,因为它涵盖了多种类型的帕累托分布。当前纸在许多方面有所不同。首先,更狭窄的关注对帕累托I类型发行版允许包括大量的测试。其次,与简单的假设(指定所讨论的帕累托分布的参数)相比,当前论文与复合假设有关。第三,两篇论文中考虑的样本大小有很大不同。 此外,我们考虑了拟合帕累托I型分布的两种不同的方法。最大似然的方法和与力矩匹配密切相关的方法。已经证明,估计方法不仅对各种测试所达到的能力具有深远的影响,而且对计算数值临界值的方式。我们表明,当使用最大似然时,所得的临界值是形状不变的,可以使用蒙特卡洛程序获得。当采用力矩匹配时,情况并非如此。 该论文包括一项广泛的蒙特卡洛力量研究。根据获得的结果,我们建议使用基于PHI差异的测试以及最大似然估计。
Pareto distributions are widely used models in economics, finance and actuarial sciences. As a result, a number of goodness-of-fit tests have been proposed for these distributions in the literature. We provide an overview of the existing tests for the Pareto distribution, focussing specifically on the Pareto type I distribution. To date, only a single overview paper on goodness-of-fit testing for Pareto distributions has been published. However, the mentioned paper has a much wider scope than is the case for the current paper as it covers multiple types of Pareto distributions. The current paper differs in a number of respects. First, the narrower focus on the Pareto type I distribution allows a larger number of tests to be included. Second, the current paper is concerned with composite hypotheses compared to the simple hypotheses (specifying the parameters of the Pareto distribution in question) considered in the mentioned overview. Third, the sample sizes considered in the two papers differ substantially. In addition, we consider two different methods of fitting the Pareto Type I distribution; the method of maximum likelihood and a method closely related to moment matching. It is demonstrated that the method of estimation has a profound effect, not only on the powers achieved by the various tests, but also on the way in which numerical critical values are calculated. We show that, when using maximum likelihood, the resulting critical values are shape invariant and can be obtained using a Monte Carlo procedure. This is not the case when moment matching is employed. The paper includes an extensive Monte Carlo power study. Based on the results obtained, we recommend the use of a test based on the phi divergence together with maximum likelihood estimation.