论文标题

在具有连续内部变量的三个国家意见模型中,介观分析方法

Mesoscopic analytical approach in a three state opinion model with continuous internal variable

论文作者

Pedraza, Lucía, Pinasco, Juan Pablo, Semeshenko, Viktoriya, Balenzuela, Pablo

论文摘要

对舆论形成模型中的分析方法已经对表示为离散或连续变量的意见进行了广泛的研究。在本文中,我们分析了一种结合两种方法的模型。代理的状态用内部连续变量(倾斜或倾向)表示,该变量导致离散的公众舆论:Pro,反对或中立。该模型可以通过一组主方程来描述,该方程是双曲线类型的一阶微分方程的非线性耦合系统,包括非本地术语和非局部边界条件,无法分析地解决。我们开发了一个近似值来解决这一困难,通过在变量动力学中的时间尺度分离的假设下得出一组具有相同意见的代理的平均倾斜动力学动力学的主方程。我们表明,这种简化的模型准确地预测了中性共识和两极化状态之间的预期转变,并且即使没有完全实现时间分离量表假说,也可以为代理人平均倾斜的平均倾斜动力学提供了极好的近似。

Analytical approaches in models of opinion formation have been extensively studied either for an opinion represented as a discrete or a continuous variable. In this paper, we analyze a model which combines both approaches. The state of an agent is represented with an internal continuous variable (the leaning or propensity), that leads to a discrete public opinion: pro, against or neutral. This model can be described by a set of master equations which are a nonlinear coupled system of first order differential equations of hyperbolic type including non-local terms and non-local boundary conditions, which can't be solved analytically. We developed an approximation to tackle this difficulty by deriving a set of master equations for the dynamics of the average leaning of agents with the same opinion, under the hypothesis of a time scale separation in the dynamics of the variables. We show that this simplified model accurately predicts the expected transition between a neutral consensus and a bi-polarized state, and also gives an excellent approximation for the dynamics of the average leaning of agents with the same opinion, even when the time separation scale hypothesis is not completely fulfilled.

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