论文标题
估计堪萨斯州的技术风能潜力，该潜力结合了政策应用的大气响应
Estimating the technical wind energy potential of Kansas that incorporates the atmospheric response for policy applications
论文作者
论文摘要
能源场景和过渡途径需要估计技术风能电位。但是，标准的政策侧方法使用了观察到的风速，从而忽略了耗尽区域风资源的风力涡轮机的动能（KE）的影响，降低了风速并降低了容量因素。因此，使用与互动风电场参数化的大气数值相对于估计，相对于估计值，标准方法显着高估了风资源的潜力。在这里，我们测试了我们的大气预算（KEBA）在美国中部的堪萨斯州的KE预算（KEBA）方法，这是一个具有高风能资源的地区。我们发现，Keba在10-11％以内的模拟估计值重现，使用标准方法比估计低30-50％。我们还评估了白天和夜间条件之间风资源耗竭的重要差异，这是由于稳定性的影响。我们的结果表明，KEBA方法是评估区域尺度风资源潜力的一种简单但适当的方法，并且在政策应用程序中，需要在此类规模上考虑资源耗竭效应。
Energy scenarios and transition pathways need estimates of technical wind energy potentials. However, the standard policy-side approach uses observed wind speeds, thereby neglecting the effects of kinetic energy (KE) removal by the wind turbines that depletes the regional wind resource, lowers wind speeds, and reduces capacity factors. The standard approach therefore significantly overestimates the wind resource potential relative to estimates using numerical models of the atmosphere with interactive wind farm parameterizations. Here, we test the extent to which these effects of KE removal can be accounted for by our KE Budget of the Atmosphere (KEBA) approach over Kansas in the central US, a region with a high wind energy resource. We find that KEBA reproduces the simulated estimates within 10 - 11%, which are 30 - 50% lower than estimates using the standard approach. We also evaluate important differences in the depletion of the wind resource between daytime and nighttime conditions, which are due to effects of stability. Our results indicate that the KEBA approach is a simple yet adequate approach to evaluating regional-scale wind resource potentials, and that resource depletion effects need to be accounted for at such scales in policy applications.
