论文标题

基于位置的社交网络中有关锚点效应的因果分析

Causal Analysis on the Anchor Store Effect in a Location-based Social Network

论文作者

Vallapuram, Anish K., Kwon, Young D., Lee, Lik-Hang, Xu, Fengli, Hui, Pan

论文摘要

零售经济学感兴趣的一种特殊现象是,就客户流量而言,锚商店(具有信誉良好品牌的特定商店)的溢出效应。该领域的先前工作依赖于通常是机密或昂贵的小型数据集,可以大规模收集。同样,很少有作品研究溢出效应的因素之间的基本因果机制。在这项工作中,我们分析了锚固店与客户流量与非锚商店之间的因果关系,并采用倾向得分匹配框架来更有效地调查这种效果。首先,为了证明效果,我们利用伦敦数据存储和基于位置的社交网络(LBSN)(例如Foursquare)的开放和移动数据。然后,我们对位于大伦敦地区的非锚商店(例如,非链餐厅)的客户访问模式进行大规模的经验分析,作为案例研究。通过研究大隆顿地区的600多个社区,我们发现锚店商店的客户流量增加了14.2-26.5%,非锚商店加强了既定经济理论。此外,我们通过研究合成数据上的混杂因素平衡,剂量差异和匹配框架的性能来评估方法论的效率。通过这项工作,我们将零售行业的决策者指定为一种更系统的方法来估算锚点店的效果,并为进一步的研究铺平了道路,以发现与开放数据相关的更复杂的因果关系。

A particular phenomenon of interest in Retail Economics is the spillover effect of anchor stores (specific stores with a reputable brand) to non-anchor stores in terms of customer traffic. Prior works in this area rely on small and survey-based datasets that are often confidential or expensive to collect on a large scale. Also, very few works study the underlying causal mechanisms between factors that underpin the spillover effect. In this work, we analyse the causal relationship between anchor stores and customer traffic to non-anchor stores and employ a propensity score matching framework to investigate this effect more efficiently. First of all, to demonstrate the effect, we leverage open and mobile data from London Datastore and Location-Based Social Networks (LBSNs) such as Foursquare. We then perform a large-scale empirical analysis on customer visit patterns from anchor stores to non-anchor stores(e.g., non-chain restaurants) located in the Greater London area as a case study. By studying over 600 neighbourhoods in the GreaterLondon Area, we find that anchor stores cause a 14.2-26.5% increase in customer traffic for the non-anchor stores reinforcing the established economic theory. Moreover, we evaluate the efficiency of our methodology by studying the confounder balance, dose difference and performance of matching framework on synthetic data. Through this work, we point decision-makers in the retail industry to a more systematic approach to estimate the anchor store effect and pave the way for further research to discover more complex causal relationships underlying this effect with open data.

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