论文标题

贝叶斯积聚建模:轴对称赤道发射

Bayesian Accretion Modeling: Axisymmetric Equatorial Emission in the Kerr Spacetime

论文作者

Palumbo, Daniel C. M, Gelles, Zachary, Tiede, Paul, Chang, Dominic O., Pesce, Dominic W., Chael, Andrew, Johnson, Michael D.

论文摘要

事件范围望远镜(EHT)产生了两个超级黑洞的图像,Messier〜87*(M 87*)和Sagittarius〜A*(sgr a*)。 EHT协作使用这些图像来间接限制黑洞参数,通过将天空平面发射形态的测量结果校准为一般相对论磁性流失动力学(GRMHD)模拟的图像。在这里,我们开发了一个模型,用于直接通过镜头,红移和框架拖动的签名来直接限制黑洞质量,自旋和倾斜度,同时在未知的积聚和发射特性上进行边缘化。通过假设黑洞附近的光学薄,轴对称的赤道发射,我们的模型在需要辐射转移的类似方法上获得了速度的数量级。使用2017 EHT M 87*基线覆盖范围,我们使用模型的拟合来表明数据不足以证明光子环的存在。然后,我们调查了拟合类似EHT的数据的GRMHD仿真,发现我们的模型最适合拟合磁性磁盘,这是M 87*和SGR A*的最喜欢的模拟类别。对于这些模拟,最佳拟合模型参数在true质量的$ {\ sim} 10 \%$之内,在$ {\ sim} 10^\ circ $中以供倾斜。由于2017年EHT覆盖范围和振幅上的1 \%分数不确定性,自旋不受限制。自旋轴位角的准确推断在很大程度上取决于自旋和电子温度。我们的结果表明,通过干涉数据直接限制黑洞的空间的希望,但它们还表明,几乎相同的图像允许黑洞性质差异很大,突出了血浆性质之间的脱位,时空,最关键的是,在研究单个频率上研究透镜的增值图像时,未知的发射几何形状。

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) has produced images of two supermassive black holes, Messier~87* (M 87*) and Sagittarius~A* (Sgr A*). The EHT collaboration used these images to indirectly constrain black hole parameters by calibrating measurements of the sky-plane emission morphology to images of general relativistic magnetohydrodynamic (GRMHD) simulations. Here, we develop a model for directly constraining the black hole mass, spin, and inclination through signatures of lensing, redshift, and frame dragging, while simultaneously marginalizing over the unknown accretion and emission properties. By assuming optically thin, axisymmetric, equatorial emission near the black hole, our model gains orders of magnitude in speed over similar approaches that require radiative transfer. Using 2017 EHT M 87* baseline coverage, we use fits of the model to itself to show that the data are insufficient to demonstrate existence of the photon ring. We then survey time-averaged GRMHD simulations fitting EHT-like data, and find that our model is best-suited to fitting magnetically arrested disks, which are the favored class of simulations for both M 87* and Sgr A*. For these simulations, the best-fit model parameters are within ${\sim}10\%$ of the true mass and within ${\sim}10^\circ$ for inclination. With 2017 EHT coverage and 1\% fractional uncertainty on amplitudes, spin is unconstrained. Accurate inference of spin axis position angle depends strongly on spin and electron temperature. Our results show the promise of directly constraining black hole spacetimes with interferometric data, but they also show that nearly identical images permit large differences in black hole properties, highlighting degeneracies between the plasma properties, spacetime, and most crucially, the unknown emission geometry when studying lensed accretion flow images at a single frequency.

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