论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Online matching with delays and stochastic arrival times

论文作者

Mari, Mathieu, Pawłowski, Michał, Ren, Runtian, Sankowski, Piotr

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

This paper presents a new research direction for the Min-cost Perfect Matching with Delays (MPMD) - a problem introduced by Emek et al. (STOC'16). In the original version of this problem, we are given an $n$-point metric space, where requests arrive in an online fashion. The goal is to minimise the matching cost for an even number of requests. However, contrary to traditional online matching problems, a request does not have to be paired immediately at the time of its arrival. Instead, the decision of whether to match a request can be postponed for time $t$ at a delay cost of $t$. For this reason, the goal of the MPMD is to minimise the overall sum of distance and delay costs. Interestingly, for adversarially generated requests, no online algorithm can achieve a competitive ratio better than $O(\log n/\log \log n)$ (Ashlagi et al., APPROX/RANDOM'17). Here, we consider a stochastic version of the MPMD problem where the input requests follow a Poisson arrival process. For such a problem, we show that the above lower bound can be improved by presenting two deterministic online algorithms, which, in expectation, are constant-competitive. The first one is a simple greedy algorithm that matches any two requests once the sum of their delay costs exceeds their connection cost, i.e., the distance between them. The second algorithm builds on the tools used to analyse the first one in order to obtain even better performance guarantees. This result is rather surprising as the greedy approach for the adversarial model achieves a competitive ratio of $Ω(m^{\log \frac{3}{2}+\varepsilon})$, where $m$ denotes the number of requests served (Azar et al., TOCS'20). Finally, we prove that it is possible to obtain similar results for the general case when the delay cost follows an arbitrary positive and non-decreasing function, as well as for the MPMD variant with penalties to clear pending requests.

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