论文标题
利用行业4.0-深度学习,替代模型和转移学习与不确定性定量纳入核系统的数字双胞胎
Leveraging Industry 4.0 -- Deep Learning, Surrogate Model and Transfer Learning with Uncertainty Quantification Incorporated into Digital Twin for Nuclear System
论文作者
论文摘要
工业4.0通过技术革命将传统行业转化为智能行业。这场革命只有通过创新,优化,互连和快速的决策能力才有可能。人们认为数值模型是行业4.0的关键组成部分,可以通过模拟而不是昂贵的实验来快速决策。然而,对优化或决策的精确,高保真模型的数值研究通常是耗时的,计算在计算上很昂贵。在这种情况下,数据驱动的替代模型是快速计算分析和新输入参数输出参数的概率预测的绝佳替代品。物联网(IoT)和机器学习(ML)的出现使替代建模的概念更加可行。但是,这些替代模型包含固有的不确定性,源于建模缺陷或两者兼而有之。这些不确定性(如果未量化和最小化)会产生偏斜的结果。因此,在优化,降低成本或安全增强过程分析中,正确实施不确定性量化技术至关重要。本章首先简要概述了替代建模,转移学习,物联网和数字双胞胎的概念。之后,介绍了与数字双胞胎相关的替代模型的不确定性,不确定性量化框架的详细概述以及不确定性量化方法的细节。最后,已经解决了核工业中不确定性量化方法的使用。
Industry 4.0 targets the conversion of the traditional industries into intelligent ones through technological revolution. This revolution is only possible through innovation, optimization, interconnection, and rapid decision-making capability. Numerical models are believed to be the key components of Industry 4.0, facilitating quick decision-making through simulations instead of costly experiments. However, numerical investigation of precise, high-fidelity models for optimization or decision-making is usually time-consuming and computationally expensive. In such instances, data-driven surrogate models are excellent substitutes for fast computational analysis and the probabilistic prediction of the output parameter for new input parameters. The emergence of Internet of Things (IoT) and Machine Learning (ML) has made the concept of surrogate modeling even more viable. However, these surrogate models contain intrinsic uncertainties, originate from modeling defects, or both. These uncertainties, if not quantified and minimized, can produce a skewed result. Therefore, proper implementation of uncertainty quantification techniques is crucial during optimization, cost reduction, or safety enhancement processes analysis. This chapter begins with a brief overview of the concept of surrogate modeling, transfer learning, IoT and digital twins. After that, a detailed overview of uncertainties, uncertainty quantification frameworks, and specifics of uncertainty quantification methodologies for a surrogate model linked to a digital twin is presented. Finally, the use of uncertainty quantification approaches in the nuclear industry has been addressed.