论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
The COVID-19 Pandemic and the Future of Telecommuting in the United States
论文作者
论文摘要
这项研究重点是美国19日大流行的重要运输相关的长期影响：远程办公的增加。分析成年人的全国代表性小组调查，我们发现40-50％的工人期望在大流行后至少每月至少几次远程通信，而预期的24％。如果给出了该选项，则90-95％的人在大流行计划中首次进行定期练习的人。我们还发现，新的电信在人口统计学上与前杂化的电信相似。前后，后期和后，更高的教育程度和收入以及某些工作类别都在很大程度上决定了工人是否可以选择远程通信。尽管远程办公的增长，但大约一半的工人期望无法远程执行，而2/3至3/4之间的工人期望他们的庞大后远程通信模式与他们的兴前模式保持不变。这限制了远程办事的贡献可以减少高峰小时运输需求。
This study focuses on an important transport-related long-term effect of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States: an increase in telecommuting. Analyzing a nationally representative panel survey of adults, we find that 40-50% of workers expect to telecommute at least a few times per month post-pandemic, up from 24% pre-COVID. If given the option, 90-95% of those who first telecommuted during the pandemic plan to continue the practice regularly. We also find that new telecommuters are demographically similar to pre-COVID telecommuters. Both pre- and post-COVID, higher educational attainment and income, together with certain job categories, largely determine whether workers have the option to telecommute. Despite growth in telecommuting, approximately half of workers expect to remain unable to telecommute and between 2/3 and 3/4 of workers expect their post-pandemic telecommuting patterns to be unchanged from their pre-COVID patterns. This limits the contribution telecommuting can make to reducing peak hour transport demand.
