论文标题

太阳能质子事件和太阳耀斑期间飞行时间的分析

Analyses of Flight Time During Solar Proton Events and Solar Flares

论文作者

Xu, X. H., Wang, Y., Wei, F. S., Feng, X. S., Bo, M. H., Tang, H. W., Wang, D. S., Lei, B., Wang, B. Y., Zuo, P. B., Jiang, C. W., Xu, X. J., Zhou, Z. L., Li, Z., Zou, P., Wang, L. D., Gu, Y. X., Chen, Y. L., Zhang, W. Y., Sun, P.

论文摘要

分析太空天气对航空的影响是一个新的主题。人们普遍认为,在太阳能质子事件期间极地飞行的飞行时间可能会增加,因为飞行必须改变其路线以避免高能颗粒。但是,除了这种现象外,与太空天气事件期间的飞行时间有关的研究非常罕见。基于对西风周围39条代表性国际空中航线的分析,发现在西行(东行)航空路线上有97.44%(94.87%)的商用飞机(向东)的空中路线显示,太阳能Proton期间的太阳能飞行时间较短(更长的)飞行时间与安静期间的飞行时间相比,持续时间的变化幅度为0.21%。比较调查可以保证,这种现象的确定性是,无论飞行时间的方向差异仍然是无可争议的,无论陆地路线(中国 - 欧洲)或超海路线(中国 - 西方美国)。进一步的分析表明,与大气加热相关的太阳能质子事件将通过削弱某些大气循环(例如极性喷射流)来改变飞行持续时间。虽然在太阳耀斑期间不会明显改变极性喷射流,因此找不到飞行时间的方向差异。除了已经知道的传统空间天气效果外,本文是第一个报告,表明太阳能质子事件如何影响飞行时间的新方案。这些分析对航空也很重要,因为我们的发现可以帮助航空公司优化航空路线,以节省乘客时间成本,降低燃油成本,甚至促成全球变暖问题。

Analyzing the effects of space weather on aviation is a new and developing topic. It has been commonly accepted that the flight time of the polar flights may increase during solar proton events because the flights have to change their route to avoid the high-energy particles. However, apart from such phenomenon, researches related to the flight time during space weather events is very rare. Based on the analyses of 39 representative international air routes around westerlies, it is found that 97.44% (94.87%) of the commercial airplanes on the westbound (eastbound) air routes reveal shorter (longer) flight time during solar proton events compared to those during quiet periods, and the averaged magnitude of change in flight time is ~10 min or 0.21%-4.17% of the total flight durations. Comparative investigations reassure the certainty of such phenomenon that the directional differences in flight time are still incontrovertible regardless of over-land routes (China-Europe) or over-sea routes (China-Western America). Further analyses suggest that the solar proton events associated atmospheric heating will change the flight durations by weakening certain atmospheric circulations, such as the polar jet stream. While the polar jet stream will not be obviously altered during solar flares so that the directional differences in flight time are not found. Besides the conventional space weather effects already known, this paper is the first report that indicates a distinct new scenario of how the solar proton events affect flight time. These analyses are also important for aviation since our discoveries could help the airways optimize the air routes to save passenger time costs, reduce fuel costs and even contribute to the global warming issues.

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