论文标题

定量AI风险评估:机会和挑战

Quantitative AI Risk Assessments: Opportunities and Challenges

论文作者

Piorkowski, David, Hind, Michael, Richards, John

论文摘要

尽管AI系统越来越被杠杆化为组织,个人和社会提供价值,但已经确定并体现了显着的随之风险。这些风险导致了拟议的法规,诉讼和一般社会问题。 与任何有前途的技术一样,组织希望从AI技术的积极能力中受益,同时降低风险。降低风险的最佳方法是实施全面的AI生命周期治理,其中在设计,开发,部署和监视AI系统的过程中介绍和执行了政策和程序。尽管对综合治理的支持开始出现,但组织通常需要确定部署已经建立的模型的风险,而无需了解其如何构造或与原始开发人员访问。这样的评估将以类似于房屋检查员如何评估已经建造的房屋的风险或医师的风险进行定量评估现有模型的风险,或者可能会根据一系列测试来评估患者的整体健康状况。 可以使用技术界的指标来量化几种AI风险。但是,决定如何利用这些指标来创建定量的AI风险评估,存在许多问题。本文探讨了这些问题,重点介绍了这种方法的机遇,挑战和潜在影响,并讨论了它如何影响AI法规。

Although AI systems are increasingly being leveraged to provide value to organizations, individuals, and society, significant attendant risks have been identified and have manifested. These risks have led to proposed regulations, litigation, and general societal concerns. As with any promising technology, organizations want to benefit from the positive capabilities of AI technology while reducing the risks. The best way to reduce risks is to implement comprehensive AI lifecycle governance where policies and procedures are described and enforced during the design, development, deployment, and monitoring of an AI system. Although support for comprehensive governance is beginning to emerge, organizations often need to identify the risks of deploying an already-built model without knowledge of how it was constructed or access to its original developers. Such an assessment will quantitatively assess the risks of an existing model in a manner analogous to how a home inspector might assess the risks of an already-built home or a physician might assess overall patient health based on a battery of tests. Several AI risks can be quantified using metrics from the technical community. However, there are numerous issues in deciding how these metrics can be leveraged to create a quantitative AI risk assessment. This paper explores these issues, focusing on the opportunities, challenges, and potential impacts of such an approach, and discussing how it might influence AI regulations.

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