论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Modeling Polarized Radio Sounding Observations of a Coronal Mass Ejection

论文作者

Jensen, Elizabeth A., Manchester IV, Ward B., Kooi, Jason E., Nieves-Chinchilla, Teresa, Jian, Lan K., Wexler, David B., Fung, Shing, Gopalswamy, Natchimuthuk

论文摘要

冠状质量弹出(CME)在从太阳传播到地球时会显着发展,因此远程观察到它们的速度变化,磁场强度,密度和整体结构对于预测其到达时间和地理位置至关重要。无线电线对法拉第旋转和总电子含量和白色明显观测的观察线观察可以通过仔细的分析来测量这些特性。本文描述了分析技术,并评估了它们在测量CME复杂不断发展的结构和速度方面的准确性。该方法利用纯粹基于空间的仪器概念的冠状和地球结构(Fetch)的法拉第效应跟踪器的布局,并使用Alfven Wave太阳大气模型(AWSOM)模拟作为评估这些无线电测量的输入。着眼于密度和速度/速度,我们发现CME特性的原位测量值观察到不同CME结构的相似但不同的方面。 AWSOM模型表明,与总电子含量(TEC)相比,法拉第旋转可能是对结构的敏感度量。最后,我们讨论了模拟在确定磁通绳的后边缘位置时揭示的难度。

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) evolve significantly as they propagate from the Sun to the Earth, so remote observations of their changes in speed, strength of the magnetic field, density, and overall structure are critical for predicting their arrival time and geoeffectiveness. Radio line-of-sight observations of Faraday rotation and Total Electron Content combined with white-light observations enables the measurement of these properties with careful analyses. This paper describes the analysis techniques and evaluates their accuracy with regard to measuring a CME's complex evolving structure and speed. The approach utilizes the layout of the Faraday effect tracker of coronal and heliospheric structures (FETCH), a purely space-based instrument concept, with Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) simulations as input for evaluating these radio-based measures. Focusing on density and velocity/speed, we find that in-situ measurements of CME properties observe similar but different aspects of the distinct CME structure. The AWSoM model suggests that Faraday rotation may be a more sensitive measure of structure than Total Electron Content (TEC). Finally, we discuss the difficulty the simulation reveals in determining the trailing edge location of a magnetic flux rope.

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