论文标题
冠状病毒权衡 - 生活与经济:合理和最佳地处理权衡
The Coronavirus Tradeoff -- Life vs. Economy: Handling the Tradeoff Rationally and Optimally
论文作者
论文摘要
最近的冠状病毒爆发使政府面临着不方便的权衡选择,即挽救生命和挽救经济之间的选择,迫使他们在不知道整个社会的最终结果中做出替代行动方案之间做出了巨大的结果决定。本文试图将冠状病毒权衡问题作为一个经济优化问题,并提出数学优化方法,以在面对诸如通过最近的冠状病毒大流行中进行管理的情况下,做出合理的最佳决策。本文介绍的框架和提出的方法是基于社会层面上理性选择理论的基础,该理论假设政府是一种理性的,仁慈的媒介,它是一种系统地,有目的地考虑的社会边际成本和社会边际成本和社会边际收益,对其公民的行为对社会行为的福利,并最大程度地利用社会的福祉,以使社会的福祉最大化。我们从静态和动态的角度来解决这个权衡问题。最后,我们提供了几个数值示例,阐明了如何在现实世界中应用所提出的框架和方法。
The recent coronavirus outbreak has made governments face an inconvenient tradeoff choice, i.e. the choice between saving lives and saving the economy, forcing them to make immensely consequential decisions among alternative courses of actions without knowing what the ultimate results would be for the society as a whole. This paper attempts to frame the coronavirus tradeoff problem as an economic optimization problem and proposes mathematical optimization methods to make rationally optimal decisions when faced with trade-off situations such as those involved in managing through the recent coronavirus pandemic. The framework introduced and the method proposed in this paper are on the basis of the theory of rational choice at a societal level, which assumes that the government is a rational, benevolent agent that systematically and purposefully takes into account the social marginal costs and social marginal benefits of its actions to its citizens and makes decisions that maximize the society's well-being as a whole. We approach solving this tradeoff problem from a static as well as a dynamic point of view. Finally, we provide several numerical examples clarifying how the proposed framework and methods can be applied in the real-world context.