论文标题

国家权力作为网络流

National Power as Network Flow

论文作者

Poulshock, Michael

论文摘要

在国际背景下的政治权力可以被描述为一种流体般的物质,它通过民族国家网络传播。各州可以将其作为股票数量,反映出其物质能力或国民财富;他们可以通过建设性或破坏性作用将其作为流量数量转移。诸如贸易之类的建设性活动增加了一个州的权力,而诸如暴力冲突之类的破坏性活动则减少了它。在本文中,我们使用经济和军事数据将这些断言量化为第一个近似,并参数化了一个数学模型,该模型可以预测国际体系中权力的演变。

Political power in the international context can be characterized as a fluid-like substance that circulates through a network of nation states. States can possess it as a stock quantity, reflected by their material capacity or national wealth; and they can transfer it as a flow quantity, through constructive or destructive action. Constructive activities like trade increase a state's power, while destructive ones like violent conflict reduce it. In this paper, we quantify these assertions to a first approximation using economic and military data, parameterizing a mathematical model that can forecast the evolution of power in the international system.

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