论文标题

Covid-19的可持续响应策略:基于多模式运输数据的大流行城市分区

The Sustainable Response Strategy to COVID-19: Pandemic Urban Zoning Based on Multimodal Transport Data

论文作者

Wang, Yufei, Hua, Mingzhuang, Chen, Xuewu, Chen, Wendong, Cheng, Long

论文摘要

自Covid-19爆发以来,它已经迅速发展成为全球突然而重大的公共卫生紧急情况。随着Covid-19的变体,大流行控制的困难继续增加,这为社会带来了巨大的成本。现有的大流行控制分区方法忽略了对居民的影响。在这项研究中,我们通过科学描述分区区域提出了一种精致且低成本的大流行控制方法。首先,基于中国南京的多模式运输旅行数据建立了空间交互网络,基于重力模型的改进的莱顿社区检测方法用于获得初步的分区方案。然后,我们使用空间限制来使用离散的空间分布来纠正结果。最后,获得了用于大流行控制的合理区域。算法结果的模块化为0.4185,证明所提出的方法适用于大流行控制分区。所提出的方法还证明能够最大程度地减少大流行控制区域之间的交通流量,并且只有24.8%的旅行连接被切断,从而减少了大流行控制对居民日常生活的影响并降低了大流行控制的成本。这些发现可以帮助为大流行控制的可持续战略和建议提供信息。

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, it has rapidly evolved into a sudden and major public health emergency globally. With the variants of COVID-19, the difficulty of pandemic control continues to increase, which has brought significant costs to the society. The existing pandemic control zoning method ignores the impact on residents'lives. In this study, we propose a refined and low-cost pandemic control method by scientifically delineating zoning areas. First, a spatial interaction network is built up based on the multimodal transport travel data in Nanjing, China, and an improved Leiden community detection method based on the gravity model is used to obtain a preliminary zoning scheme. Then, we use spatial constraints to correct the results with the discrete spatial distribution. Finally, reasonable zones for pandemic control are obtained. The modularity of the algorithm results is 0.4185, proving that the proposed method is suitable for pandemic control zoning. The proposed method is also demonstrated to be able to minimize traffic flows between pandemic control areas and only 24.8% of travel connections are cut off, thus reducing the impact of pandemic control on residents'daily life and reducing the cost of pandemic control. The findings can help to inform sustainable strategies and suggestions for the pandemic control.

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