论文标题

艰苦的深度学习,以降低气候

Hard-Constrained Deep Learning for Climate Downscaling

论文作者

Harder, Paula, Hernandez-Garcia, Alex, Ramesh, Venkatesh, Yang, Qidong, Sattigeri, Prasanna, Szwarcman, Daniela, Watson, Campbell, Rolnick, David

论文摘要

可靠,高分辨率气候和天气数据的可用性对于为气候适应和缓解的长期决定提供了重要的意见,并指导对极端事件的快速响应。预测模型受到计算成本的限制,因此通常会产生粗分辨率的预测。统计降尺度,包括深度学习的超分辨率方法,可以提供一种有效的方法来提高低分辨率数据。然而,尽管在某些情况下取得了令人信服的结果,但是在预测物理变量时,这种模型经常违反保护法。为了节省物理量,在这里,我们介绍了通过深度学习缩减模型来确保统计限制的方法,同时还根据传统指标来改善其性能。我们比较了不同的约束方法,并证明了它们在不同神经体系结构以及各种气候和天气数据集之间的适用性。除了通过降尺度实现更快,更准确的气候预测外,我们还表明,我们的新方法可以改善卫星数据和自然图像数据集的超分辨率。

The availability of reliable, high-resolution climate and weather data is important to inform long-term decisions on climate adaptation and mitigation and to guide rapid responses to extreme events. Forecasting models are limited by computational costs and, therefore, often generate coarse-resolution predictions. Statistical downscaling, including super-resolution methods from deep learning, can provide an efficient method of upsampling low-resolution data. However, despite achieving visually compelling results in some cases, such models frequently violate conservation laws when predicting physical variables. In order to conserve physical quantities, here we introduce methods that guarantee statistical constraints are satisfied by a deep learning downscaling model, while also improving their performance according to traditional metrics. We compare different constraining approaches and demonstrate their applicability across different neural architectures as well as a variety of climate and weather data sets. Besides enabling faster and more accurate climate predictions through downscaling, we also show that our novel methodologies can improve super-resolution for satellite data and natural images data sets.

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