论文标题
关于因果背景知识的代表及其在因果推理中的应用
On the Representation of Causal Background Knowledge and its Applications in Causal Inference
论文作者
论文摘要
观察性研究经常遇到有关存在或缺乏因果边缘和路径的因果背景知识。由于背景知识而导致的马尔可夫等效dag的子类共享的有向边和链接可以由因果关系最大部分定向的无循环图(MPDAG)表示。在本文中,我们首先提供了因果MPDAG的声音和完整的图形表征,并给出了因果MPDAG的最小表示。然后,我们介绍了一种名为Direct Causal子句(DCC)的新颖表示,以统一形式表示所有类型的因果背景知识。使用DCC,我们研究因果背景知识的一致性和等效性,并表明任何因果背景知识集可以等效地分解为因果MPDAG,以及最小的残留DCC。还提供了多项式时间算法,以检查一致性,同等性并找到分解的MPDAG和残留DCC。最后,借助因果背景知识,我们证明了一个足够且必要的条件来识别因果关系,并且出人意料地发现因果效应的识别性仅取决于分解的MPDAG。我们还开发了局部IDA型算法,以估计无法识别效应的可能值。模拟表明因果背景知识可以显着提高因果影响的识别性。
Causal background knowledge about the existence or the absence of causal edges and paths is frequently encountered in observational studies. The shared directed edges and links of a subclass of Markov equivalent DAGs refined due to background knowledge can be represented by a causal maximally partially directed acyclic graph (MPDAG). In this paper, we first provide a sound and complete graphical characterization of causal MPDAGs and give a minimal representation of a causal MPDAG. Then, we introduce a novel representation called direct causal clause (DCC) to represent all types of causal background knowledge in a unified form. Using DCCs, we study the consistency and equivalency of causal background knowledge and show that any causal background knowledge set can be equivalently decomposed into a causal MPDAG plus a minimal residual set of DCCs. Polynomial-time algorithms are also provided for checking the consistency, equivalency, and finding the decomposed MPDAG and residual DCCs. Finally, with causal background knowledge, we prove a sufficient and necessary condition to identify causal effects and surprisingly find that the identifiability of causal effects only depends on the decomposed MPDAG. We also develop a local IDA-type algorithm to estimate the possible values of an unidentifiable effect. Simulations suggest that causal background knowledge can significantly improve the identifiability of causal effects.