论文标题

COVID-19的连续时间马尔可夫链模型

A Continuous-Time Markov Chain Model for the Spread of COVID-19

论文作者

Bagyan, Armine, Richards, Donald

论文摘要

自2019年底以来,新颖的冠状病毒(也称为Covid-19)引起了持续的大流行。本文展示了如何使用Covid-19的连续时间马尔可夫链模型来解释和证明本科生的正当性,现在使用策略来控制病毒。本文中的材料写在接受随机过程理论和应用的介绍课程的学生级别上。

Since late 2019 the novel coronavirus, also known as COVID-19, has caused a pandemic that persists. This paper shows how a continuous-time Markov chain model for the spread of COVID-19 can be used to explain, and justify to undergraduate students, strategies now being used in attempts to control the virus. The material in the paper is written at the level of students who are taking an introductory course on the theory and applications of stochastic processes.

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