论文标题
几个站点?收集生态学多元数据时协助设计决策的方法
How many sites? Methods to assist design decisions when collecting multivariate data in ecology
论文作者
论文摘要
1。通过功率分析估算样本量估计是计划生态研究的基本工具,但是目前尚无公认的程序,即何时要收集多元丰度。功率分析程序将需要解决三个挑战:设计一种捕获关键社区数据属性的简约模拟模型;以现实但可解释的方式衡量效果大小;并确保将模拟用于功率估计和显着性测试时确保计算可行性。 2。在这里,我们提出了一个功率分析程序,该程序通过以下方面解决了这三个挑战:用于模拟具有因子分析结构的高斯copula模型,该模型适用于试点数据;假设所有分类单元具有共同的效果大小,但根据专家意见(增加“减少”或“无效”分类单元)以不同的方向应用;使用临界价值方法来估计功率,该方法将计算时间减少了500倍,而精度却很少。 3。在恢复研究中,从鱼类组合的试验数据中证明了该程序,在此发现,计划的研究设计只能检测到相对较大的影响(丰富的次数的变化量为1.5或更多)。 4。本文概述的方法可在随附的R软件(Ecopower软件包)中获得,该方法允许使用Pilot数据的研究人员回答各种各样的设计问题,以帮助他们计划研究。
1. Sample size estimation through power analysis is a fundamental tool in planning an ecological study, yet there are currently no well-established procedures for when multivariate abundances are to be collected. A power analysis procedure would need to address three challenges: designing a parsimonious simulation model that captures key community data properties; measuring effect size in a realistic yet interpretable fashion; and ensuring computational feasibility when simulation is used both for power estimation and significance testing. 2. Here we propose a power analysis procedure that addresses these three challenges by: using for simulation a Gaussian copula model with factor analytical structure, fitted to pilot data; assuming a common effect size across all taxa, but applied in different directions according to expert opinion (to "increaser", "decreaser" or "no effect" taxa); using a critical value approach to estimate power, which reduces computation time by a factor of 500 with little loss of accuracy. 3. The procedure is demonstrated on pilot data from fish assemblages in a restoration study, where it was found that the planned study design would only be capable of detecting relatively large effects (change in abundance by a factor of 1.5 or more). 4. The methods outlined in this paper are available in accompanying R software (the ecopower package), which allows researchers with pilot data to answer a wide range of design questions to assist them in planning their studies.