论文标题
评估物联网环境中多个时间序列的短期预测
Evaluating Short-Term Forecasting of Multiple Time Series in IoT Environments
论文作者
论文摘要
现代物联网(IoT)环境通过大量IoT启用的传感设备进行监视,并根据计算能力和能源的数据采集和处理基础架构设置限制。为了减轻此问题,通常将传感器配置为以相对较低的采样频率运行,从而减少了一组观测值。然而,这可能会妨碍随后的决策,例如预测。为了解决这个问题,在这项工作中,我们评估了高度不确定的情况下的短期预测,即,传感器流的数量远高于观察次数。相对于五个不同的现实世界数据集的预测准确性,对几种统计,机器学习和基于神经网络的模型进行了彻底检查。将重点放在统一的实验方案上,专门针对在物联网边缘的多个时间序列的短期预测设计。所提出的框架可以被视为在资源约束的物联网应用程序中建立可靠的预测策略的重要步骤。
Modern Internet of Things (IoT) environments are monitored via a large number of IoT enabled sensing devices, with the data acquisition and processing infrastructure setting restrictions in terms of computational power and energy resources. To alleviate this issue, sensors are often configured to operate at relatively low sampling frequencies, yielding a reduced set of observations. Nevertheless, this can hamper dramatically subsequent decision-making, such as forecasting. To address this problem, in this work we evaluate short-term forecasting in highly underdetermined cases, i.e., the number of sensor streams is much higher than the number of observations. Several statistical, machine learning and neural network-based models are thoroughly examined with respect to the resulting forecasting accuracy on five different real-world datasets. The focus is given on a unified experimental protocol especially designed for short-term prediction of multiple time series at the IoT edge. The proposed framework can be considered as an important step towards establishing a solid forecasting strategy in resource constrained IoT applications.