论文标题
美国玉米带缓解氮损失的多尺度分析
Multi-scale Analysis of Nitrogen Loss Mitigation in the US Corn Belt
论文作者
论文摘要
降低墨西哥湾低氧区的规模已被证明是一项艰巨的任务。已经提出了各种缓解选择,每种选择都可能产生明显不同的缓解模式,并对经济产生巨大的后果。普遍的共识是,仅仅没有一项措施就足以实现EPA工作组的目标来减少海湾低氧区,并且似乎必须采用多种管理实践。但是,没有一个高度解决的多尺度框架来评估这些政策组合,目前尚不清楚从不同的政策中出现哪种缓解模式,以及对地方,地区和国家土地使用,食品价格和农场收益的后果。我们通过利用新型的多规模框架来评估密西西比河流域的替代n损失管理政策,以解决这一研究差距。这将精细的农业生态系统响应与捕获国内外市场以及价格联系的经济模式结合在一起。我们发现,湿地恢复与提高的N使用效率以及浸出税相结合,可以将密西西比河N负载降低30-53 \%,而仅适度提高玉米价格。这项研究强调了高分辨率分析的价值以及合并经济和生态工具在应对非点源硝酸盐污染中的潜力。
Reducing the size of the hypoxic zone in the Gulf of Mexico has proven to be a challenging task. A variety of mitigation options have been proposed, each likely to produce markedly different patterns of mitigation with widely varying consequences for the economy. The general consensus is that no single measure alone is sufficient to achieve the EPA Task Force goal for reducing the Gulf hypoxic zone and it appears that a combination of management practices must be employed. However, absent a highly resolved, multi-scale framework for assessing these policy combinations, it has been unclear what pattern of mitigation is likely to emerge from different policies and what the consequences would be for local, regional and national land use, food prices and farm returns. We address this research gap by utilizing a novel multi-scale framework for evaluating alternative N loss management policies in the Mississippi River basin. This combines fine-scale agro-ecosystem responses with an economic model capturing domestic and international market and price linkages. We find that wetland restoration combined with improved N use efficiency, along with a leaching tax could reduce the Mississippi River N load by 30-53\% while only modestly increasing corn prices. This study underscores the value of fine-resolution analysis and the potential of combined economic and ecological instruments in tackling nonpoint source nitrate pollution.