论文标题
在线两极分化的驱动程序:将模型拟合到数据
The drivers of online polarization: fitting models to data
论文作者
论文摘要
在线用户倾向于在共享叙述中加入两极分化的志同道合的同龄人,形成回声室。回声室效应和意见两极分化可能是由几个因素驱动的,包括信息消耗中的人类偏见以及饲料算法产生的个性化建议。到目前为止,研究主要使用意见动态模型来探索极化和回声室的出现背后的机制。目的是确定导致这些现象的关键因素并确定其相互作用。但是,使用经验数据的模型预测验证仍然显示出两个主要缺点:缺乏系统性和定性分析。在我们的工作中,我们通过提供一种方法来比较从模拟获得的意见分布与社交媒体上测量的观点分布来弥合这一差距。为了验证此过程,我们开发了一个意见动态模型,该模型考虑了人类和算法因素之间的相互作用。我们将模型与来自不同社交媒体平台的数据进行经验测试,并根据两种最先进的模型进行基准测试。为了进一步增强我们对社交媒体平台的理解,我们根据模型的参数空间提供了对其特征的综合描述。这种表示有可能促进饲料算法的完善,从而减轻极端化对在线话语的有害影响。
Users online tend to join polarized groups of like-minded peers around shared narratives, forming echo chambers. The echo chamber effect and opinion polarization may be driven by several factors including human biases in information consumption and personalized recommendations produced by feed algorithms. Until now, studies have mainly used opinion dynamic models to explore the mechanisms behind the emergence of polarization and echo chambers. The objective was to determine the key factors contributing to these phenomena and identify their interplay. However, the validation of model predictions with empirical data still displays two main drawbacks: lack of systematicity and qualitative analysis. In our work, we bridge this gap by providing a method to numerically compare the opinion distributions obtained from simulations with those measured on social media. To validate this procedure, we develop an opinion dynamic model that takes into account the interplay between human and algorithmic factors. We subject our model to empirical testing with data from diverse social media platforms and benchmark it against two state-of-the-art models. To further enhance our understanding of social media platforms, we provide a synthetic description of their characteristics in terms of the model's parameter space. This representation has the potential to facilitate the refinement of feed algorithms, thus mitigating the detrimental effects of extreme polarization on online discourse.