论文标题
时间多分辨率图神经网络用于流行预测
Temporal Multiresolution Graph Neural Networks For Epidemic Prediction
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中,我们介绍了时间多分辨率图神经网络(TMGNN),这是两个都学会构建多尺度和多分辨率图结构的第一个体系结构,并结合了时间序列信号以捕获动态图的时间变化。我们已经根据几个欧洲国家的实际Covid-19-19流行病学和水痘流行收集的历史时间序列数据来预测流行病和大流行的未来传播的任务,并获得了与其他先前先前的先前最新的临时建筑和图形学习算法相比,获得了竞争性的结果。我们已经表明,捕获图形的多尺度和多分辨率结构对于提取本地或全球信息很重要,这些信息在理解从当地城市开始并传播到全世界的全球流行病的动态中起着至关重要的作用。我们的工作为预测和减轻未来的流行病和流行病带来了有希望的研究方向。
In this paper, we introduce Temporal Multiresolution Graph Neural Networks (TMGNN), the first architecture that both learns to construct the multiscale and multiresolution graph structures and incorporates the time-series signals to capture the temporal changes of the dynamic graphs. We have applied our proposed model to the task of predicting future spreading of epidemic and pandemic based on the historical time-series data collected from the actual COVID-19 pandemic and chickenpox epidemic in several European countries, and have obtained competitive results in comparison to other previous state-of-the-art temporal architectures and graph learning algorithms. We have shown that capturing the multiscale and multiresolution structures of graphs is important to extract either local or global information that play a critical role in understanding the dynamic of a global pandemic such as COVID-19 which started from a local city and spread to the whole world. Our work brings a promising research direction in forecasting and mitigating future epidemics and pandemics.