论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Unbinned Likelihood Analysis for X-ray Polarization

论文作者

González-Caniulef, Denis, Caiazzo, Ilaria, Heyl, Jeremy

论文摘要

我们提出了一项系统的研究,对未链接的逐个光子可能性技术,可以用作一种替代方法,用于分析使用IXPE和其他光电极化器获得的相依赖相关的X射线光谱观测。我们将未锁定的技术应用于发光X射线脉冲星赫拉克勒斯X-1的模型,为此,我们使用IXPEOBSSIM软件包进行了模拟观测值。我们考虑对负责吸收脉冲星的极化发射的实际物理过程的最小知识,并假设观察到的相位依赖性极化角可以通过旋转矢量模型来描述。使用未链接的技术,检测器的调制因子以及仅极化信息,我们发现旋转矢量模型和基础光谱极光学模型都可以同样重建积聚Pulsar的几何构型角度。但是,除非还考虑了探测器的能量分散和有效面积,否则测得的极化部分对基础模型会偏差。为此,我们提出了一个能量分散的可能性估计量,该估计量被证明是公正的。对于不同的分析,我们从多个IXPEOBSSIM实现中获得后验分布,并表明未链接的技术比二线技术产生$ \ sim 10 \%的误差线。我们还讨论了诸如磁铁之类的替代来源,其中无键的技术和旋转向量模型被应用。

We present a systematic study of the unbinned, photon-by-photon likelihood technique which can be used as an alternative method to analyse phase-dependent, X-ray spectro-polarimetric observations obtained with IXPE and other photo-electric polarimeters. We apply the unbinned technique to models of the luminous X-ray pulsar Hercules X-1, for which we produce simulated observations using ixpeobssim package. We consider minimal knowledge about the actual physical process responsible for the polarized emission from the accreting pulsar and assume that the observed phase-dependent polarization angle can be described by the rotating vector model. Using the unbinned technique, the detector's modulation factor, and the polarization information alone, we found that both the rotating vector model and the underlying spectro-polarimetry model can reconstruct equally well the geometric configuration angles of the accreting pulsar. However, the measured polarization fraction becomes biased with respect to underlying model unless the energy dispersion and effective area of the detector are also taken into account. To this end, we present an energy-dispersed likelihood estimator that is proved to be unbiased. For different analyses, we obtain posterior distributions from multiple ixpeobssim realizations and show that the unbinned technique yields $\sim 10\%$ smaller error bars than the binned technique. We also discuss alternative sources, such as magnetars, in which the unbinned technique and the rotating vector model might be applied.

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