论文标题
与未知的合格团队的小组平局：2022 FIFA世界杯平局的课程
Group draw with unknown qualified teams: A lesson from the 2022 FIFA World Cup draw
论文作者
论文摘要
在揭示了季后赛三个获胜者的身份之前，已经组织了2022 FIFA世界杯的平局。播种是根据2022年3月31日发布的FIFA世界排名，但这三支球队是从最弱的锅中汲取的。我们表明，官方的种子政策在可能的程度上不能平衡小组的难度水平：与UEFA冠军中使用的规则相似，可以更好地替代占位符，这是一个更好的选择。我们的模拟强化了这是在FIFA世界杯中创建平衡团体的最佳策略。
The draw for the 2022 FIFA World Cup has been organised before the identity of three winners of the play-offs is revealed. Seeding has been based on the FIFA World Ranking released on 31 March 2022 but these three teams have been drawn from the weakest Pot 4. We show that the official seeding policy does not balance the difficulty levels of the groups to the extent possible: a better alternative would have been to assign the placeholders according to the highest-ranked potential winner, similar to the rule used in the UEFA Champions League qualification. Our simulations reinforce that this is the best strategy in general to create balanced groups in the FIFA World Cup.
