论文标题
将发电机的不可用模型与开放能量数据集的经验分布进行比较
Comparing Generator Unavailability Models with Empirical Distributions from Open Energy Datasets
论文作者
论文摘要
电站中断的建模是电力系统计划的组成部分。在这项工作中，构建了西北欧洲八个国家的车队的模型，并随后与使用开放式ENTECESSO-E透明度平台的数据得出的经验分布进行了比较。非序列模型的摘要统计数据突出了经验建模的局限性，在各国之间的结果非常可变。此外，对时间顺序模型的分析表明，对车队特异性分析模型参数的明确需求。尽管与经验分布相关的许多挑战和歧义性，但建议通过比较这两种互补方法来建模和理解生成器的不可利用性来获得一系列有价值的定性和定量见解。
The modelling of power station outages is an integral part of power system planning. In this work, models of the unavailability of the fleets of eight countries in Northwest Europe are constructed and subsequently compared against empirical distributions derived using data from the open-access ENTSO-e Transparency Platform. Summary statistics of non-sequential models highlight limitations with the empirical modelling, with very variable results across countries. Additionally, analysis of time sequential models suggests a clear need for fleet-specific analytic model parameters. Despite a number of challenges and ambiguities associated with the empirical distributions, it is suggested that a range of valuable qualitative and quantitative insights can be gained by comparing these two complementary approaches for modelling and understanding generator unavailabilities.
