论文标题
在线平衡实验设计
Online Balanced Experimental Design
论文作者
论文摘要
e考虑在线环境中的实验设计问题,这是减少随机实验中估计值差异的重要实用任务,从而可以提高精确度,进而改善决策。在这项工作中,我们提出的算法是基于在线差异最小化最小化的最新进展,该算法可容纳任意治疗概率和多种治疗方法。所提出的算法是计算效率的,最大程度地减少协方差不平衡,并包括随机分组,使得可以鲁棒性地指定。我们在因果估计的预期均方根误差上提供了最坏的情况,并表明所提出的估计器不比隐式脊回归差,后者在离线实验设计的最著名结果的对数因子内。最后,我们的详细仿真研究表明,相对于完整的随机化以及实验设计的离线方法,其时间复杂性超过了我们的算法。
e consider the experimental design problem in an online environment, an important practical task for reducing the variance of estimates in randomized experiments which allows for greater precision, and in turn, improved decision making. In this work, we present algorithms that build on recent advances in online discrepancy minimization which accommodate both arbitrary treatment probabilities and multiple treatments. The proposed algorithms are computational efficient, minimize covariate imbalance, and include randomization which enables robustness to misspecification. We provide worst case bounds on the expected mean squared error of the causal estimate and show that the proposed estimator is no worse than an implicit ridge regression, which are within a logarithmic factor of the best known results for offline experimental design. We conclude with a detailed simulation study showing favorable results relative to complete randomization as well as to offline methods for experimental design with time complexities exceeding our algorithm.