论文标题
劳动力市场状况和大学毕业：来自巴西的证据
Labor market conditions and college graduation: evidence from Brazil
论文作者
论文摘要
在经济衰退中毕业的大学生已被证明对他们的收入，健康和其他成果面临巨大而持续的负面影响。本文调查了学生是否推迟毕业以避免这些影响。该论文使用巴西高等教育宇宙的数据，并利用跨时间，空间和所选择的专业的劳动力市场状况的差异，发现公共机构中的学生会延迟毕业，以避免进入压抑的劳动力市场。典型的衰退导致公立大学的准时毕业率下降了6.5％，对私人机构没有影响。诱导的延迟将平均毕业毕业增加了0.11个学期，在公立大学中延迟一年毕业的18名学生中有1个一致。在高薪专业的学生和更有优势的背景中，分数较高的学生的延迟效果更大。这对衰退的分布影响具有重要意义。
College students graduating in a recession have been shown to face large and persistent negative effects on their earnings, health, and other outcomes. This paper investigates whether students delay graduation to avoid these effects. Using data on the universe of students in higher education in Brazil and leveraging variation in labor market conditions across time, space, and chosen majors, the paper finds that students in public institutions delay graduation to avoid entering depressed labor markets. A typical recession causes the on-time graduation rate to fall by 6.5% in public universities and there is no effect on private institutions. The induced delaying increases average graduation by 0.11 semesters, consistent with 1 out of 18 students delaying graduation by one year in public universities. The delaying effect is larger for students with higher scores, in higher-earnings majors, and from more advantaged backgrounds. This has important implications for the distributional impact of recessions.
