论文标题
时间序列使用模糊认知图预测:调查
Time Series Forecasting Using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps: A Survey
论文作者
论文摘要
在时间序列预测的各种软计算方法中,模糊认知图(FCM)显示出了显着的结果,作为建模和分析复杂系统动力学的工具。 FCM与复发性神经网络具有相似之处,可以归类为一种神经模糊法。换句话说,FCM是模糊逻辑,神经网络和专家系统方面的混合物,它们是模拟和研究复杂系统动态行为的强大工具。最有趣的特征是知识解释性,动态特征和学习能力。该调查论文的目的主要是介绍文献中提出的最相关和最新的基于FCM的时间序列预测模型。此外,本文考虑了FCM模型和学习方法的基础知识的介绍。此外,这项调查为将来的研究提供了一些想法,以增强FCM的功能,以应对现实世界中的一些挑战,例如处理非平稳数据和可伸缩性问题。此外,将FCMS配备快速学习算法是该领域的主要问题之一。
Among various soft computing approaches for time series forecasting, Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) have shown remarkable results as a tool to model and analyze the dynamics of complex systems. FCM have similarities to recurrent neural networks and can be classified as a neuro-fuzzy method. In other words, FCMs are a mixture of fuzzy logic, neural network, and expert system aspects, which act as a powerful tool for simulating and studying the dynamic behavior of complex systems. The most interesting features are knowledge interpretability, dynamic characteristics and learning capability. The goal of this survey paper is mainly to present an overview on the most relevant and recent FCM-based time series forecasting models proposed in the literature. In addition, this article considers an introduction on the fundamentals of FCM model and learning methodologies. Also, this survey provides some ideas for future research to enhance the capabilities of FCM in order to cover some challenges in the real-world experiments such as handling non-stationary data and scalability issues. Moreover, equipping FCMs with fast learning algorithms is one of the major concerns in this area.