论文标题

COVID-19:疾病负担估计的血清神父的最佳设计

COVID-19: Optimal Design of Serosurveys for Disease Burden Estimation

论文作者

Athreya, Siva, Babu, Giridhara R., Iyer, Aniruddha, S., Mohammed Minhaas B., Rathod, Nihesh, Shriram, Sharad, Sundaresan, Rajesh, Vaidhiyan, Nidhin Koshy, Yasodharan, Sarath

论文摘要

我们提供了一种方法论,流行病学家可以为调查提供最佳设计,该调查的目的是估计人口的疾病负担。对于给定预算为$ c $卢比的血清疗法,指定的一套具有成本,敏感性和特殊性的测试集,我们在四种不同的情况下显示了最佳设计的存在,包括众所周知的C-最佳设计。结果的有用性通过数值示例说明。我们的结果适用于广泛的流行病学调查,因为该假设是该估计的Fisher-Furnformation矩阵满足均匀的确定标准。

We provide a methodology by which an epidemiologist may arrive at an optimal design for a survey whose goal is to estimate the disease burden in a population. For serosurveys with a given budget of $C$ rupees, a specified set of tests with costs, sensitivities, and specificities, we show the existence of optimal designs in four different contexts, including the well known c-optimal design. Usefulness of the results are illustrated via numerical examples. Our results are applicable to a wide range of epidemiological surveys under the assumptions that the estimate's Fisher-information matrix satisfies a uniform positive definite criterion.

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