论文标题
您最好提防：US Covid-19 Wave Dynamics与疫苗接种策略
You better watch out: US COVID-19 wave dynamics versus vaccination strategy
论文作者
论文摘要
我们利用流行性重新归一化组（ERG）框架来理解，繁殖和预测整个美国的共同大流行扩散。通过开源飞行数据对不同地理的美国各个部门进行的人类流动性以及每个此类划分的社会疏远影响。我们分析了疫苗接种策略对美国当前流行波动动态的影响。我们观察到，正在进行的疫苗接种运动不会影响当前的大流行浪潮，因此仍然必须制定严格的社会疏远措施。为了遏制电流和下一波，我们的结果无疑表明，仅疫苗是不够的，并且需要严格的社会距离措施，直到实现足够的免疫力为止。我们的结果对于美国成功的疫苗接种策略至关重要。
We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing for each such division. We analyse the impact of the vaccination strategy on the current pandemic wave dynamics in the US. We observe that the ongoing vaccination campaign will not impact the current pandemic wave and therefore strict social distancing measures must still be enacted. To curb the current and the next waves our results indisputably show that vaccinations alone are not enough and strict social distancing measures are required until sufficient immunity is achieved. Our results are essential for a successful vaccination strategy in the US.
