论文标题
估计由无法识别的状态空间模型和时间序列数据确定的隐藏结构的方法
Method for estimating hidden structures determined by unidentifiable state-space models and time-series data based on the Groebner basis
论文作者
论文摘要
在这项研究中,我们提出了一种方法,用于提取模型参数的隐藏代数结构,这些方法是由观察到的时间序列数据和无法识别的状态空间模型唯一确定的。州空间模型通常是根据域(例如物理或生物学)构建的。这样的模型包括与所考虑的系统相关的特定含义的参数,该参数通过使用相应数据估算参数来检查。由于无法从给定数据中确定无法识别的模型的参数,因此很难检查此类模型所描述的系统。为了克服这一难度,在退出方法中估算和分析了多个可能的参数集。但是,通常无法探索所有可能的参数。因此,使用估计参数对系统的考虑不足。在这项研究中,侧重于由观察到的数据和模型独特所确定的某些结构,即使它们是无法识别的,我们介绍了参数品种的概念。通常,这是新定义并被证明形成了代数品种。依靠格罗布纳基础来推导品种的明确表示的计算代数方法以及支持理论。此外,提出了它在描述病毒动力学模型的分析中的应用。这样,发现了对传统方法所忽略的动态的新见解,从而证实了我们的想法和提出的方法的适用性。
In this study, we propose a method for extracting the hidden algebraic structures of model parameters that are uniquely determined by observed time-series data and unidentifiable state-space models, explicitly and exhaustively. State-space models are often constructed based on the domain, for example, physical or biological. Such models include parameters that are assigned specific meanings in relation to the system under consideration, which is examined by estimating the parameters using the corresponding data. As the parameters of unidentifiable models cannot be uniquely determined from the given data, it is difficult to examine the systems described by such models. To overcome this difficulty, multiple possible sets of parameters are estimated and analysed in the exiting approaches; however, in general, all the possible parameters cannot be explored; therefore, considerations on the system using the estimated parameters become insufficient. In this study, focusing on certain structures determined by the observed data and models uniquely, even if they are unidentifiable, we introduce the concept of parameter variety. This is newly defined and proven to form algebraic varieties, in general. A computational algebraic method that relies on the Groebner basis for deriving the explicit representation of the varieties is presented along with the supporting theory. Furthermore, its application in the analysis of a model that describes virus dynamics is presented. With this, new insight on the dynamics overlooked by the conventional approach are discovered, confirming the applicability of our idea and the proposed method.