论文标题

技术知识的累积程度如何?

How cumulative is technological knowledge?

论文作者

Persoon, P. G. J., Bekkers, R. N. A., Alkemade, F.

论文摘要

技术累积性被认为是技术进步的主要机制之一,但其确切的含义和动态通常仍不清楚。为了更好地理解这种机制,我们将技术作为由相互联系的发明组成的知识体系。然后,可以将技术累积性理解为发明在同一知识中的其他发明的程度。因此,技术的累积性的特征是其知识库的结构,这与其知识基础的规模不同,但与之密切相关。我们分析得出了描述累积性与知识库规模之间关系的方程式。此外,我们使用专利数据从经验上测试了许多选定技术的想法。我们的结果表明,累积性随着知识库的规模成比例地增加,在技术之间的速度差异很大。同时,我们发现在整个技术中,此速率与随着时间的推移的发明率成反比。这表明累积性在快速增长的技术中的速度相对较慢。总而言之,提出的方法允许对技术开发的基础技术的累积变化进行深入的系统分析。

Technological cumulativeness is considered one of the main mechanisms for technological progress, yet its exact meaning and dynamics often remain unclear. To develop a better understanding of this mechanism we approach a technology as a body of knowledge consisting of interlinked inventions. Technological cumulativeness can then be understood as the extent to which inventions build on other inventions within that same body of knowledge. The cumulativeness of a technology is therefore characterized by the structure of its knowledge base, which is different from, but closely related to, the size of its knowledge base. We analytically derive equations describing the relation between the cumulativeness and the size of the knowledge base. In addition, we empirically test our ideas for a number of selected technologies, using patent data. Our results suggest that cumulativeness increases proportionally with the size of the knowledge base, at a rate which varies considerably across technologies. At the same time we find that across technologies, this rate is inversely related to the rate of invention over time. This suggests that the cumulativeness increases relatively slow in rapidly growing technologies. In sum, the presented approach allows for an in-depth, systematic analysis of cumulativeness variations across technologies and the knowledge dynamics underlying technology development.

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