论文标题

使用包装算法来提高预测准确性,以评估生产公司的工人表现

Use Bagging Algorithm to Improve Prediction Accuracy for Evaluation of Worker Performances at a Production Company

论文作者

Saad, Hamza

论文摘要

利比亚纺织公司生产部的许多工人以不同的表现工作。公司管理计划正在根据每个工人的特定绩效和质量要求支付这笔钱。因此,重要的是要预测工人的准确评估,以提取管理知识,以薪水和激励措施支付多少钱。例如,如果评估是平均水平的,那么公司的管理将支付一部分薪水。如果评估良好,那么它将支付全部薪水,此外,如果评估良好,则将支付工资和激励百分比。为每个变量收集的121个实例的12个变量,以预测每个工人的过程评估。在开始分类之前,用于预测影响评估过程的影响变量的特征选择。然后,决策树的四种算法用于预测输出并提取输入和输出之间的影响力。为了确保获得最高的精度,用于部署决策树的四种算法并预测最高预测结果99.16%的集合算法(包装)。四种算法的标准错误很小;这意味着输入(7个变量)和输出(评估)之间存在牢固的关系。算法(接收器操作特征)的曲线具有高级的特异性和灵敏度,并且增益图非常接近。根据结果​​,公司的管理人员应就生产过程的评估做出逻辑决定,并提取影响评估的重要变量。

Many workers at the production department of Libyan Textile Company work with different performances. Plan of company management is paying the money according to the specific performance and quality requirements for each worker. Thus, it is important to predict the accurate evaluation of workers to extract the knowledge for management, how much money it will pay as salary and incentive. For example, if the evaluation is average, then management of the company will pay part of the salary. If the evaluation is good, then it will pay full salary, moreover, if the evaluation is excellent, then it will pay salary plus incentive percentage. Twelve variables with 121 instances for each variable collected to predict the evaluation of the process for each worker. Before starting classification, feature selection used to predict the influential variables which impact the evaluation process. Then, four algorithms of decision trees used to predict the output and extract the influential relationship between inputs and output. To make sure get the highest accuracy, ensemble algorithm (Bagging) used to deploy four algorithms of decision trees and predict the highest prediction result 99.16%. Standard errors for four algorithms were very small; this means that there is a strong relationship between inputs (7 variables) and output (Evaluation). The curve of (Receiver operating characteristics) for algorithms gave a high-level specificity and sensitivity, and Gain charts were very close to together. According to the results, management of the company should take a logic decision about the evaluation of production process and extract the important variables that impact the evaluation.

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