论文标题
使用机器学习技术对儿童死亡率的早期评估中出生前因素的影响
The Influences of Pre-birth Factors in Early Assessment of Child Mortality using Machine Learning Techniques
论文作者
论文摘要
分析儿童死亡率至关重要,因为它与一个国家的政策和计划有关。对儿童死亡率原因的模式和趋势的早期评估有助于决策者评估需求,优先考虑干预措施并监控进度。儿童的出生后因素,例如实时临床数据,儿童的健康数据等,经常用于儿童死亡率研究。但是,在对儿童死亡率的早期评估中,出生前的因素将比出生后因素更实用和有益。这项研究旨在纳入出生前的因素,例如出生历史,产妇历史,繁殖史,社会经济状况等,以分类儿童死亡率。为了评估特征的相对重要性,采用信息增益(IG)属性评估器。为了分类儿童死亡率,评估了四种机器学习算法。结果表明,所提出的方法在分类儿童死亡率方面的AUC得分为0.947,这表现优于临床标准。就准确性,精度,召回和F-1评分而言,结果也很明显且均匀。在像孟加拉国这样的发展中国家,使用出生前的因素对儿童死亡率进行早期评估将是有效和可行的,因为它避免了出生后因素的不确定性。
Analysis of child mortality is crucial as it pertains to the policy and programs of a country. The early assessment of patterns and trends in causes of child mortality help decision-makers assess needs, prioritize interventions, and monitor progress. Post-birth factors of the child, such as real-time clinical data, health data of the child, etc. are frequently used in child mortality studies. However, in the early assessment of child mortality, pre-birth factors would be more practical and beneficial than the post-birth factors. This study aims at incorporating pre-birth factors, such as birth history, maternal history, reproduction history, socioeconomic condition, etc. for classifying child mortality. To assess the relative importance of the features, Information Gain (IG) attribute evaluator is employed. For classifying child mortality, four machine learning algorithms are evaluated. Results show that the proposed approach achieved an AUC score of 0.947 in classifying child mortality which outperformed the clinical standards. In terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and f-1 score, the results are also notable and uniform. In developing countries like Bangladesh, the early assessment of child mortality using pre-birth factors would be effective and feasible as it avoids the uncertainty of the post-birth factors.