论文标题

扩展生长混合模型以评估与各个测量场合框架中分段线性轨迹联合发展中的异质性

Extending Growth Mixture Model to Assess Heterogeneity in Joint Development with Piecewise Linear Trajectories in the Framework of Individual Measurement Occasions

论文作者

Liu, Jin, Perera, Robert A.

论文摘要

研究人员继续有兴趣探索协变量对轨迹异质性的影响。包含与潜在类别相关的协变量,可以更清楚地理解个体差异,并对潜在阶级成员的更有意义地解释。许多理论和实证研究都集中在研究单变量重复结果的变化模式中的异质性,并检查对基线协变量的影响,这使得群集形成。但是,发展过程很少孤立地展开。因此,经验研究人员经常希望随着时间的流逝检查两个或多个结果,希望了解他们的共同发展,在这些发展中,这些结果及其变化模式是相关的。这项研究检查了平行非线性轨迹的异质性,并将基线特征鉴定为潜在类别的预测指标。我们的仿真研究表明,所提出的模型可以分开平行轨迹的簇,并提供无偏见和准确的点估计值,并具有目标覆盖概率,以提供一般感兴趣的参数。我们说明了如何运用该模型来研究从K级到5级的阅读和数学能力共同发展的异质性。在这个现实世界中,我们还演示了如何选择对潜在阶级贡献最大的协变量,并将候选协变量转变为从一个更易于管理的构图中,将其用于较大的构图设置,以保留有意义的原始等式模型。

Researchers continue to be interested in exploring the effects that covariates have on the heterogeneity in trajectories. The inclusion of covariates associated with latent classes allows for a more clear understanding of individual differences and a more meaningful interpretation of latent class membership. Many theoretical and empirical studies have focused on investigating heterogeneity in change patterns of a univariate repeated outcome and examining the effects on baseline covariates that inform the cluster formation. However, developmental processes rarely unfold in isolation; therefore, empirical researchers often desire to examine two or more outcomes over time, hoping to understand their joint development where these outcomes and their change patterns are correlated. This study examines the heterogeneity in parallel nonlinear trajectories and identifies baseline characteristics as predictors of latent classes. Our simulation studies show that the proposed model can tell the clusters of parallel trajectories apart and provide unbiased and accurate point estimates with target coverage probabilities for the parameters of interest in general. We illustrate how to apply the model to investigate the heterogeneity in the joint development of reading and mathematics ability from Grade K to 5. In this real-world example, we also demonstrate how to select covariates that contribute the most to the latent classes and transform candidate covariates from a large set into a more manageable set with retaining the meaningful properties of the original set in the structural equation modeling framework.

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