论文标题
威权主义与民主：模拟对疾病暴发的反应
Authoritarianism vs. democracy: Simulating responses to disease outbreaks
论文作者
论文摘要
疾病爆发迫使政府做出快速决策。但是，就民主代表性而言，迅速的决策可能会很昂贵。本文的目的是调查偏好多元化和做出决定所需的时间之间的权衡。为此，我们开发并测试了Hegselmann和Krause（2002）模型的修改版本，以捕获不同制度环境中决策过程的这两个特征。我们使用两倍的几何体制环境，模拟疾病暴发的影响，以检查各国是否表现出特殊的影响，具体取决于其机构框架。主要发现表明，政治决定中的多元化程度不一定与紧急情况下的糟糕表现有关，只要政治辩论已经足够成熟。
Disease outbreaks force the governments to rapid decisions to deal with. However, the rapid stream of decision-making could be costly in terms of the democratic representativeness. The aim of the paper is to investigate the trade-off between pluralism of preferences and the time required to approach a decision. To this aim we develop and test a modified version of the Hegselmann and Krause (2002) model to capture these two characteristics of the decisional process in different institutional contexts. Using a twofold geometrical institutional setting, we simulate the impact of disease outbreaks to check whether countries exhibits idiosyncratic effects, depending on their institutional frameworks. Main findings show that the degree of pluralism in political decisions is not necessarily associated with worse performances in managing emergencies, provided that the political debate is mature enough.
