论文标题
经济复杂性和增长：增值出口可以更好地解释联系吗？
Economic Complexity and Growth: Can value-added exports better explain the link?
论文作者
论文摘要
在经济文献中，经济复杂性通常是基于经济总体出口结构而近似的。但是，在越来越多地整合的全球价值链中，总体出口可能会传达出一个国家经济表现的不准确形象，因为它们还纳入了外国增值和双重计数出口。因此，我引入了一种新的经验方法，该方法基于一个国家的增值出口结构，近似于经济复杂性。与已建立的指标相比，这种方法导致了显着不同的复杂性排名。此外，即使控制典型的增长回归协变量，即使控制40个中低收入国家的样本，GDP人均增长率的解释能力也更高。
In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image of a country's economic performance since they also incorporate foreign value-added and double-counted exports. Thus, I introduce a new empirical approach approximating economic complexity based on a country's value-added export structure. This approach leads to substantially different complexity rankings compared to established metrics. Moreover, the explanatory power of GDP per capita growth rates for a sample of 40 lower-middle- to high-income countries is considerably higher, even if controlling for typical growth regression covariates.
