论文标题
通过戴口罩来防止流行病：covid-19的申请
Preventing epidemics by wearing masks: An application to COVID-19
论文作者
论文摘要
这项工作的目的是考虑将面罩广泛使用作为19009大流行的非药物控制策略。一个将人口分为戴口罩的人和不考虑的人的模型。通过下一代方法来计算基本的生殖数，仅通过使用口罩可以防止流行病，并且得出了掩盖用户的关键百分比，以预防人群中的疾病预防疾病。然后将结果应用于美国，巴西和意大利的现实世界数据。
The goal of this work is to consider widespread use of face masks as a non-pharmaceutical control strategy for the Covid-19 pandemic. A SEIR model that divides the population into individuals that wear masks and those that do not is considered. After calculating the basic reproductive number by a next generation approach, a criterion for determining when an epidemic can be prevented by the use of masks only and the critical percentage of mask users for disease prevention in the population are derived. The results are then applied to real world data from the United States, Brazil and Italy.
