论文标题

在印度季风期间通过离散的镜头期间降雨与对流云之间的时空关系

Spatio-temporal relationships between rainfall and convective clouds during Indian Monsoon through a discrete lens

论文作者

Sharma, Arjun, Mitra, Adway, Vasan, Vishal, Govindarajan, Rama

论文摘要

印度季风是一个多变量的过程,每年6月至9月,在时空上都是非常异构的。我们研究了2004 - 2010年之间季风的降雨与降雨辐射(OLR,对流云覆盖)之间的关系。为了识别,分类和可视化降雨和OLR的空间模式,我们使用基于Markov随机字段的统计模型创建的数据的离散和时空连贯表示。我们的方法将降雨和OLR的类似空间分布的日子簇成少量的空间模式。我们发现,降雨和OLR中的每日八种空间模式,以及七个降雨和OLR的联合模式,描述了全天的90 \%。通过这些模式,我们发现OLR通常与降水具有很强的负相关性,但是空间变化很大。特别是,在大部分时间里,印度半岛(西海岸除外)处于对流云的覆盖范围内,但仍然没有下雨。我们还发现,大部分季风降雨与OLR低的共同销售,但是6月,印度东部和西北部的降雨发生在OLR时代,大概是来自浅云。为了研究两种量的日常变化,我们确定了从观测值计算的时间梯度中的空间模式。我们发现,整个印度对流云活动的变化最常见于建立南北的OLR梯度,该梯度持续了1-2天,并将对流云覆盖率从光线转移到深处,反之亦然。这种变化还伴随着降水的空间分布的变化。因此,目前的工作提供了对复杂空间模式及其日常变化的高度减少的描述,并可以为将来简化此过程的描述形成有用的工具。

The Indian monsoon, a multi-variable process causing heavy rains during June-September every year, is very heterogeneous in space and time. We study the relationship between rainfall and Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR, convective cloud cover) for monsoon between 2004-2010. To identify, classify and visualize spatial patterns of rainfall and OLR we use a discrete and spatio-temporally coherent representation of the data, created using a statistical model based on Markov Random Field. Our approach clusters the days with similar spatial distributions of rainfall and OLR into a small number of spatial patterns. We find that eight daily spatial patterns each in rainfall and OLR, and seven joint patterns of rainfall and OLR, describe over 90\% of all days. Through these patterns, we find that OLR generally has a strong negative correlation with precipitation, but with significant spatial variations. In particular, peninsular India (except west coast) is under significant convective cloud cover over a majority of days but remains rainless. We also find that much of the monsoon rainfall co-occurs with low OLR, but some amount of rainfall in Eastern and North-western India in June occurs on OLR days, presumably from shallow clouds. To study day-to-day variations of both quantities, we identify spatial patterns in the temporal gradients computed from the observations. We find that changes in convective cloud activity across India most commonly occur due to the establishment of a north-south OLR gradient which persists for 1-2 days and shifts the convective cloud cover from light to deep or vice versa. Such changes are also accompanied by changes in the spatial distribution of precipitation. The present work thus provides a highly reduced description of the complex spatial patterns and their day-to-day variations, and could form a useful tool for future simplified descriptions of this process.

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