论文标题
关于区域流动性，社会联系和Covid-19在德国的传播的相互作用
On the Interplay of Regional Mobility, Social Connectedness, and the Spread of COVID-19 in Germany
论文作者
论文摘要
由于呼吸道病毒传播的主要模式是人与人之间的互动，因此我们需要重新考虑身体互动模式，以减轻感染Covid-19的人数。尽管研究表明，非药物干预措施（NPI）对国家流动性模式产生了明显的影响，但我们研究了相对的区域迁移率行为，以评估人类运动对Covid-19的蔓延的影响。特别是，我们探讨了3月3日至2020年6月22日之间在Facebook活动中获得的人类流动性和社会连通性对德国新感染率的影响。我们的结果证实，减少的社交活动降低了感染率，占区域和时间模式的核算。由居住在联邦行政区内的人们的百分比量化的社会疏远程度对感染的发生产生了总体负面影响。此外，我们的结果显示了基于地理和社会距离的空间感染模式。
Since the primary mode of respiratory virus transmission is person-to-person interaction, we are required to reconsider physical interaction patterns to mitigate the number of people infected with COVID-19. While research has shown that non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) had an evident impact on national mobility patterns, we investigate the relative regional mobility behaviour to assess the effect of human movement on the spread of COVID-19. In particular, we explore the impact of human mobility and social connectivity derived from Facebook activities on the weekly rate of new infections in Germany between March 3rd and June 22nd, 2020. Our results confirm that reduced social activity lowers the infection rate, accounting for regional and temporal patterns. The extent of social distancing, quantified by the percentage of people staying put within a federal administrative district, has an overall negative effect on the incidence of infections. Additionally, our results show spatial infection patterns based on geographic as well as social distances.
