论文标题

使用仪器变量的模拟建模:2SLS模拟方法

MIMIC modelling with instrumental variables: A 2SLS-MIMIC approach

论文作者

Srakar, Andrej, Vecco, Marilena, Verbič, Miroslav, Garibay, Montserrat Gonzalez, Sambt, Jože

论文摘要

多个指标多个原因(模拟)模型是结构方程模型的类型,这是一种基于理论的方法,用于确认一组外源性因果变量对潜在变量的影响,也是潜在变量对观察到的指示变量的影响。在常见的模拟模型中,多个指标反映了潜在的潜在变量/因素,而多个原因(观察到的预测指标)会影响潜在变量/因素。如果变量既是指标又是原因,则显然会违反模拟物的基本假设,即在存在反向因果关系的情况下。此外,该模型然后是未识别的。为了解决这种情况,可能会经常出现的情况,并且由于模拟估计缺乏参数的封闭形式解决方案,我们利用了Bollen(1996)的结构方程模型的版本(1996)2SLS 2SLS估算器与Jöreskog(1970)(1970)的方法分析的协方差结构分析方法来得出新的2SLS估算器的模型。我们的2SLS经验估计基于静态模拟规范,但我们也指出动态/误差校正模拟规范和2SLS解决方案。我们为静态2SLS模拟提供了基本的渐近理论,提出了一项模拟研究,并将发现应用于有趣的经验案例,即估算老年工人的不稳定状态(使用欧洲健康,衰老和退休的调查数据集),该案例解决了一个重要的问题,即对多维概念的定义定义,是一项多维概念的定义,而不是建模,而不是遥不可及的。

Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC) models are type of structural equation models, a theory-based approach to confirm the influence of a set of exogenous causal variables on the latent variable, and also the effect of the latent variable on observed indicator variables. In a common MIMIC model, multiple indicators reflect the underlying latent variables/factors, and the multiple causes (observed predictors) affect latent variables/factors. Basic assumptions of MIMIC are clearly violated in case of a variable being both an indicator and a cause, i.e. in the presence of reverse causality. Furthermore, the model is then unidentified. To resolve the situation, which can arise frequently, and as MIMIC estimation lacks closed form solutions for parameters we utilize a version of Bollen's (1996) 2SLS estimator for structural equation models combined with Jöreskog (1970)'s method of the analysis of covariance structures to derive a new, 2SLS estimator for MIMIC models. Our 2SLS empirical estimation is based on static MIMIC specification but we point also to dynamic/error-correction MIMIC specification and 2SLS solution for it. We derive basic asymptotic theory for static 2SLS-MIMIC, present a simulation study and apply findings to an interesting empirical case of estimating precarious status of older workers (using dataset of Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe) which solves an important issue of the definition of precarious work as a multidimensional concept, not modelled adequately so far.

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