论文标题
葡萄牙人口的流动性模式在19日期大流行期间
Mobility patterns of the Portuguese population during the COVID-19 pandemic
论文作者
论文摘要
SARS-COV-2于2019年底出现。从那时起，它已经传播到多个国家，被归类为大流行。到目前为止，还没有确定的治疗或疫苗，因此最好的解决方案是防止个人通过社会疏远而传播。但是，很难衡量这些距离测量的有效性。因此，本研究使用Google Covid-19的数据社区流动性报告，试图了解Covid-19大流行期间葡萄牙人人口的流动性模式。在这项研究中，为葡萄牙建模了RT值。此外，计算了人口迁移模式的变更点。因此，使用流动性模式的变化是为了了解社会距离措施对COVID-19的传播的影响。结果，可以说葡萄牙的初始RT值接近3，落在25天后接近1的值。社会隔离措施迅速采用。此外，观察到大流行期间避免了公共交通。最后，直到疫苗的出现或有效治疗的出现为止，这是新的常态，必须理解，必须将新的流动性，社会互动和卫生模式适应这一现实。
SARS-CoV-2 emerged in late 2019. Since then, it has spread to several countries, becoming classified as a pandemic. So far, there is no definitive treatment or vaccine, so the best solution is to prevent transmission between individuals through social distancing. However, it is difficult to measure the effectiveness of these distance measures. Therefore, this study uses data from Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports to try to understand the mobility patterns of the Portuguese population during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, the Rt value was modeled for Portugal. Also, the changepoint was calculated for the population mobility patterns. Thus, the change in the mobility pattern was used to understand the impact of social distance measures on the dissemination of COVID-19. As a result, it can be stated that the initial Rt value in Portugal was very close to 3, falling to values close to 1 after 25 days. Social isolation measures were adopted quickly. Furthermore, it was observed that public transport was avoided during the pandemic. Finally, until the emergence of a vaccine or an effective treatment, this is the new normal, and it must be understood that new patterns of mobility, social interaction, and hygiene must be adapted to this reality.
