论文标题
疾病侦探:使用数学来预测传染病的传播
Disease Detectives: Using Mathematics to Forecast the Spread of Infectious Diseases
论文作者
论文摘要
19009年的大流行导致人们目前的生活发生了重大变化。为了确定如何最好地减少大流行的影响并开始重新开放社会,政府从传播疾病传播的数学模型中获取了见解。在本文中,我们介绍了一个数学模型家族(称为“隔间模型”),并讨论分析这些模型的结果如何影响政府政策和人类行为,例如鼓励面具戴口罩的戴和身体疏远以帮助减缓疾病的传播。
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant changes in how people are currently living their lives. To determine how to best reduce the effects of the pandemic and start reopening societies, governments have drawn insights from mathematical models of the spread of infectious diseases. In this article, we give an introduction to a family of mathematical models (called "compartmental models") and discuss how the results of analyzing these models influence government policies and human behavior, such as encouraging mask wearing and physical distancing to help slow the spread of the disease.