论文标题

PMAX随机字段

pMAX Random Fields

论文作者

Ferreira, Marta, Martins, Ana Paula, Ferreira, Helena

论文摘要

在工程,气候学,金融,精算等多个领域,出现非典型现象的风险是跨切割的关注。极值理论是接近此主题的自然工具。这些随机现象中的许多现象具有在时间和空间中定义的变量,通常是通过随机字段建模的。因此,在极端价值的背景下对随机场的研究变得必须势在必行,尤其是在过去十年中开发的。在这项工作中,我们提出了一个新的随机字段,称为PMAX,旨在建模极端。我们通过相应的双变量尾部依赖系数分析了其依赖性和临时依赖性结构。获得模型参数的估计器,并分析了其有限样本属性。模拟的示例说明了结果。

The risk of occurrence of atypical phenomena is a cross-cutting concern in several areas, such as engineering, climatology, finance, actuarial, among others. Extreme value theory is the natural tool to approach this theme. Many of these random phenomena carry variables defined in time and space, usually modeled through random fields. Thus, the study of random fields in the context of extreme values becomes imperative and has been developed especially in the last decade. In this work, we propose a new random field, called pMAX, designed for modeling extremes. We analyze its dependence and pre-asymptotic dependence structure through the corresponding bivariate tail dependence coefficients. Estimators for the model parameters are obtained and their finite sample properties analyzed. Examples with simulations illustrate the results.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源