论文标题

扩展专家模型的混合物以研究轨迹的异质性:何时,何处和如何添加哪些协变量

Extending Mixture of Experts Model to Investigate Heterogeneity of Trajectories: When, Where and How to Add Which Covariates

论文作者

Liu, Jin, Perera, Robert A.

论文摘要

研究人员通常有兴趣研究协变量在将异质样本分离成更均匀的潜在类别时的协变量的影响。这些目标的大多数理论和实证研究都集中在识别协变量作为结构方程建模框架中类成员资格的预测因子。换句话说,协变量仅间接影响样品异质性。但是,协变量对个体间差异的影响也可以是直接的。本文提出了一个混合模型,该模型研究了协变量,以同时解释集群内和群集间异质性,称为Experts的混合物(MOE)模型。这项研究旨在扩展MOE框架以研究非线性轨迹中的异质性:识别潜在类别,协变量作为簇的预测因素,并解释了随着时间时间变化模式的群体内部差异。我们的仿真研究表明,所提出的模型通常公正地估算参数,并准确地估算参数,并在标称95%置信区间显示出适当的经验覆盖范围。这项研究还提出了实施结构方程模型森林,以缩小所提出的混合模型的协变空间。我们说明了如何选择协变量并使用纵向数学成就数据构建所提出的模型。此外,我们证明,通过允许具有直接影响的协变量,可以在结构方程建模框架中进一步扩展所提出的混合模型。

Researchers are usually interested in examining the impact of covariates when separating heterogeneous samples into latent classes that are more homogeneous. The majority of theoretical and empirical studies with such aims have focused on identifying covariates as predictors of class membership in the structural equation modeling framework. In other words, the covariates only indirectly affect the sample heterogeneity. However, the covariates' influence on between-individual differences can also be direct. This article presents a mixture model that investigates covariates to explain within-cluster and between-cluster heterogeneity simultaneously, known as a mixture-of-experts (MoE) model. This study aims to extend the MoE framework to investigate heterogeneity in nonlinear trajectories: to identify latent classes, covariates as predictors to clusters, and covariates that explain within-cluster differences in change patterns over time. Our simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed model generally estimates the parameters unbiasedly, precisely and exhibits appropriate empirical coverage for a nominal 95% confidence interval. This study also proposes implementing structural equation model forests to shrink the covariate space of the proposed mixture model. We illustrate how to select covariates and construct the proposed model with longitudinal mathematics achievement data. Additionally, we demonstrate that the proposed mixture model can be further extended in the structural equation modeling framework by allowing the covariates that have direct effects to be time-varying.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源