论文标题
CheedsFM:预测您的下一场赌博
PsychFM: Predicting your next gamble
论文作者
论文摘要
由于其庞大而多样化的应用,包括对公共政策,经济行为和消费者行为进行建模,因此突然发生了激增。大多数人类行为本身可以将其建模为选择预测问题。前景理论是一种理论模型,试图解释选择预测中的异常情况。这些理论在解释异常方面表现良好,但缺乏精度。由于行为是依赖人的,因此有必要建立一个模型,该模型以人为基础预测选择。关注普通人的选择不一定会阐明特定人的选择。每人对赌博问题进行建模将有助于推荐系统和相关领域。已经提出了一种新型的混合模型,即心理因素化机器(Chepthfm),涉及机器学习和心理理论的概念。它的表现优于基准数据集CPC-18的流行现有模型,即随机森林和分解机。最后,通过与现有模型进行比较,已经验证了所提出的混合模型的功效。
There is a sudden surge to model human behavior due to its vast and diverse applications which includes modeling public policies, economic behavior and consumer behavior. Most of the human behavior itself can be modeled into a choice prediction problem. Prospect theory is a theoretical model that tries to explain the anomalies in choice prediction. These theories perform well in terms of explaining the anomalies but they lack precision. Since the behavior is person dependent, there is a need to build a model that predicts choices on a per-person basis. Looking on at the average persons choice may not necessarily throw light on a particular person's choice. Modeling the gambling problem on a per person basis will help in recommendation systems and related areas. A novel hybrid model namely psychological factorisation machine ( PsychFM ) has been proposed that involves concepts from machine learning as well as psychological theories. It outperforms the popular existing models namely random forest and factorisation machines for the benchmark dataset CPC-18. Finally,the efficacy of the proposed hybrid model has been verified by comparing with the existing models.